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Crown Green Handicap

Norman Sarbutts

Team: Widnes BC BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

648

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

7

Matches Played

3

Wins

4

Losses

43%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

11.0

Avg Loss Margin

0-0

Home Record

3-4

Away Record

3%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
7 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/29/2025

Only 7 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 7 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

8 Apr22 Apr29 Apr13 May27 May10 Jun29 Jul-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.0
score-0.50→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
43%
score-0.14→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
705
score-0.51→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.239
Sample Size Confidence
3%(7/41 matches)
Rating928 → shrunk 998→ adjusted 648
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)646
Recency Blend9% (7 recent matches)
Final Rating648
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W4L7 matches·42.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Widnes BC B2025Division 373442.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/29/2025Tom FrithA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2025Neil CunliffeA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025John WrigleyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2025P MurphyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2025Noel SwiftA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025Kevin CorriganA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
4/8/2025Paul BoltonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLWL
Last 1043% win rate— steady
WLLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Tom Frith101100%7/29/2025
Neil Cunliffe0110%6/10/2025
John Wrigley0110%5/27/2025
P Murphy101100%5/13/2025
Noel Swift0110%4/29/2025
Kevin Corrigan101100%4/22/2025
Paul Bolton0110%4/8/2025
Biggest Win
Kevin Corrigan (+13)4/22/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Neil Cunliffe (-12)6/10/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7057 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
3-443% win rate
Division 342.9%
3W·4L·7 played

Debut

Apr 8, 2025

Latest

Jul 29, 2025

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

7.0 (7 total)

Seasons

2025